Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Strome 45.0% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 62.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 59.4%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.1%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
O'Reilly
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
O'Reilly
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
O'Reilly
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
44.1% (749)
+12.5%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
46.2% (52)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
52.9% (17)
+1.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
O'Reilly shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Strome
Home
54.9% (801)
45.1% (441)
Away
58.7% (784)
43.5% (377)
By Period
O'Reilly
Strome
P1
58.0%
42.9%
P2
56.7%
44.4%
P3
55.4%
45.8%
OT
64.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |