Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Strome 44.4% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 95.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 82.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
O'Reilly
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
O'Reilly
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
43.0% (788)
+13.1%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
47.9% (96)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
50.0% (34)
-4.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
O'Reilly shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Strome
Home
58.3% (408)
42.6% (486)
Away
53.6% (487)
45.1% (432)
By Period
O'Reilly
Strome
P1
57.7%
41.0%
P2
54.8%
47.8%
P3
55.2%
42.1%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |