Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +25.4% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Gagner 43.8% (+25.4%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 67.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 73.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 51.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
O'Reilly
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
31.0% (29)
+25.1%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
29.4% (17)
+35.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
O'Reilly shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Gagner
Home
58.3% (408)
36.8% (19)
Away
53.6% (487)
25.9% (27)
By Period
O'Reilly
Gagner
P1
57.7%
27.8%
P2
54.8%
15.4%
P3
55.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%