Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.9% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+17.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 72.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 75.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 69.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
O'Reilly
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
O'Reilly
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
O'Reilly
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (826)
39.0% (77)
+16.4%
Power Play
57.9% (221)
35.4% (48)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (129)
40.9% (22)
+9.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
O'Reilly shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Reinhart
Home
55.8% (579)
35.7% (84)
Away
54.9% (597)
41.3% (63)
By Period
O'Reilly
Reinhart
P1
57.7%
42.6%
P2
54.8%
34.7%
P3
54.3%
37.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |