Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Reinhart 50.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 77.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 66.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
O'Reilly
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
O'Reilly
Reinhart
Last 7: O'Reilly 3-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
O'Reilly
Reinhart
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
O'Reilly
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
49.4% (259)
+6.7%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
54.4% (136)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
47.9% (71)
-2.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
O'Reilly shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Reinhart
Home
58.3% (408)
54.9% (235)
Away
53.6% (487)
46.3% (231)
By Period
O'Reilly
Reinhart
P1
57.7%
52.3%
P2
54.8%
50.0%
P3
55.2%
50.0%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |