Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Oshie 45.4% (+14.2%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 78.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 88.3%
Neutral zone
Oshie 56.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
O'Reilly
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
57.7% (26)
-1.1%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
41.3% (138)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
0.0% (5)
+54.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +54.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
O'Reilly shoots left. Oshie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Oshie
Home
54.9% (801)
41.0% (78)
Away
58.7% (784)
44.0% (91)
By Period
O'Reilly
Oshie
P1
58.0%
42.6%
P2
56.7%
41.9%
P3
55.4%
41.8%
OT
64.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
42.6%