Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.2% vs Oshie 47.5% (+9.7%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 82.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 88.3%
Neutral zone
Oshie 58.0%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
O'Reilly
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (690)
48.3% (29)
+7.8%
Power Play
64.6% (96)
46.3% (149)
+18.3%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (109)
0.0% (2)
+45.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
O'Reilly shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Oshie
Home
58.3% (408)
55.9% (93)
Away
53.6% (487)
35.6% (87)
By Period
O'Reilly
Oshie
P1
57.7%
50.9%
P2
54.8%
42.9%
P3
55.2%
43.6%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%