Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +26.0% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Oshie 43.4% (+26.0%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 68.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
O'Reilly
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
30.0% (30)
+25.0%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
23.1% (13)
+33.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (555).
O'Reilly shoots left. Oshie is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Oshie
Home
54.8% (759)
22.2% (27)
Away
53.0% (777)
37.5% (16)
By Period
O'Reilly
Oshie
P1
55.3%
28.6%
P2
51.9%
36.4%
P3
54.2%
18.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
27.9%