Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.9% vs Blueger 48.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 91.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 59.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 74.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
O'Reilly
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
O'Reilly
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (826)
50.2% (223)
+5.2%
Power Play
57.9% (221)
62.5% (8)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (129)
31.9% (47)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
O'Reilly shoots left. Blueger is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Blueger
Home
55.8% (579)
50.0% (192)
Away
54.9% (597)
41.9% (86)
By Period
O'Reilly
Blueger
P1
57.7%
46.2%
P2
54.8%
51.5%
P3
54.3%
43.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |