Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.4% vs Blueger 52.7% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 81.1%
Neutral zone
Blueger 70.6%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
O'Reilly
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
O'Reilly
Blueger
Last 7: O'Reilly 1-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
4
O'Reilly
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
O'Reilly
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,064)
53.9% (529)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.4% (260)
50.0% (6)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
54.0% (261)
50.4% (137)
+3.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
O'Reilly shoots left. Blueger is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Blueger
Home
54.9% (801)
54.3% (335)
Away
58.7% (784)
51.9% (337)
By Period
O'Reilly
Blueger
P1
58.0%
50.3%
P2
56.7%
55.2%
P3
55.4%
53.5%
OT
64.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |