Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.1%). Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 53.7% vs Blueger 52.8% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 78.0%
Defensive zone
Blueger 81.8%
Neutral zone
Blueger 55.9%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
O'Reilly
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
O'Reilly
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
3
O'Reilly
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,084)
54.2% (590)
+0.8%
Power Play
56.8% (303)
71.4% (14)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (149)
48.0% (177)
-7.7%
On power play, Blueger has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
O'Reilly shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Blueger
Home
54.8% (759)
53.2% (378)
Away
53.0% (777)
53.1% (403)
By Period
O'Reilly
Blueger
P1
55.3%
54.3%
P2
51.9%
56.7%
P3
54.2%
48.9%
OT
64.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |