Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Reilly wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.3% vs Blueger 50.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 84.1%
Defensive zone
Blueger 69.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
O'Reilly
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
O'Reilly
Blueger
Last 10: O'Reilly 7-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
1
O'Reilly
Blueger
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
5
O'Reilly
Blueger
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
2
O'Reilly
Blueger
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (983)
53.3% (745)
+2.9%
Power Play
55.5% (254)
45.5% (11)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (102)
41.7% (259)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
O'Reilly shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Blueger
Home
56.2% (697)
53.4% (504)
Away
55.1% (642)
47.2% (511)
By Period
O'Reilly
Blueger
P1
54.5%
46.6%
P2
55.5%
53.0%
P3
57.1%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |