Ryan O'Reilly vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.8% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.2%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 52.8%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Last 6: O'Reilly 3-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
O'Reilly
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (815)
57.7% (608)
-2.4%
Power Play
58.0% (219)
64.0% (150)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (124)
44.1% (136)
+5.1%
On power play, Trocheck has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (498).
O'Reilly shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Home
55.8% (579)
54.4% (366)
Away
54.6% (579)
58.3% (528)
By Period
O'Reilly
Trocheck
P1
57.5%
56.0%
P2
54.7%
58.6%
P3
54.1%
55.3%
OT
48.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
55.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
48.0%▼
54.5%
55.2%
Trocheck
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |