Ryan O'Reilly vs Vincent Trocheck
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (68% H2H, 34 meetings). O'Reilly wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.0% vs Trocheck 54.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 73-65 in 138 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 55.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
73
-
65
(138 meetings)
73
65
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Last 10: O'Reilly 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
28
27
O'Reilly
Trocheck
55 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
22
27
O'Reilly
Trocheck
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
23
11
O'Reilly
Trocheck
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (15,260)
53.7% (10,904)
+2.5%
Power Play
58.8% (3,445)
60.8% (1,856)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (2,811)
49.6% (1,461)
+1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
O'Reilly shoots left. Trocheck is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,884).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Home
57.6% (10,762)
56.3% (7,114)
Away
54.4% (10,787)
52.2% (7,107)
By Period
O'Reilly
Trocheck
P1
55.6%
54.1%
P2
57.0%
54.7%
P3
55.1%
54.0%
OT
62.2%
52.1%
Final 5 min
55.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |