Ryan O'Reilly vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 54.9% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 50.8%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 55.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Last 6: O'Reilly 3-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
O'Reilly
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (826)
57.8% (626)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.9% (221)
63.6% (151)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (129)
44.0% (141)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (514).
O'Reilly shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Home
55.8% (579)
54.4% (390)
Away
54.9% (597)
58.3% (528)
By Period
O'Reilly
Trocheck
P1
57.7%
56.4%
P2
54.8%
58.7%
P3
54.3%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |