Ryan O'Reilly vs Vincent Trocheck
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 55.3% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 62.7%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 83.4%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 71.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Last 7: O'Reilly 5-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
1
O'Reilly
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
O'Reilly
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (983)
59.6% (1,032)
-3.4%
Power Play
55.5% (254)
62.1% (253)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (102)
55.4% (249)
-3.4%
On power play, Trocheck has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
O'Reilly shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Trocheck
Home
56.2% (697)
61.7% (786)
Away
55.1% (642)
56.8% (748)
By Period
O'Reilly
Trocheck
P1
54.5%
61.7%
P2
55.5%
58.8%
P3
57.1%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:51 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |