Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Poehling 50.8% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 94.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 53.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 75.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Miller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Miller
Poehling
Last 5: Miller 4-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Miller
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
52.6% (622)
+5.6%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
58.3% (12)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
39.8% (103)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Miller
Poehling
Home
59.1% (558)
53.2% (393)
Away
57.3% (520)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Miller
Poehling
P1
60.7%
50.9%
P2
57.5%
56.2%
P3
56.1%
46.1%
OT
73.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |