Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Poehling 50.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 91.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 73.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 61.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Dowd
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Dowd
Poehling
Last 8: Dowd 8-0 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
0
Dowd
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
52.6% (622)
-0.4%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
58.3% (12)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
39.8% (103)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Poehling is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Dowd
Poehling
Home
51.5% (619)
53.2% (393)
Away
48.1% (576)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Dowd
Poehling
P1
51.7%
50.9%
P2
51.6%
56.2%
P3
47.0%
46.1%
OT
22.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |