Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.1%). Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Poehling 49.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 59.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Bjugstad
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bjugstad
Poehling
Last 5: Bjugstad 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Bjugstad
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Bjugstad
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
50.4% (752)
+0.3%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
37.0% (27)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
45.3% (159)
-0.9%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Poehling
Home
49.8% (643)
51.2% (467)
Away
48.7% (610)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Bjugstad
Poehling
P1
49.4%
54.6%
P2
50.5%
46.7%
P3
47.9%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |