Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 49.2% vs Carrick 53.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 61.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 57.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Poehling
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Poehling
Carrick
Last 7: Poehling 3-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Poehling
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Poehling
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (752)
53.9% (521)
-3.5%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
57.1% (35)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (159)
51.5% (229)
-6.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Poehling shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Poehling
Carrick
Home
51.2% (467)
52.7% (408)
Away
47.1% (471)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Poehling
Carrick
P1
54.6%
51.4%
P2
46.7%
56.6%
P3
46.7%
52.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:42 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |