Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Carrick 53.8% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 60.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 60.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 63.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Poehling
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Poehling
Carrick
Last 6: Poehling 2-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
0
Poehling
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Poehling
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Poehling
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (626)
55.1% (439)
-5.3%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (207)
49.1% (53)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Poehling is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Poehling shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Poehling
Carrick
Home
47.3% (404)
58.2% (225)
Away
46.9% (441)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Poehling
Carrick
P1
53.5%
56.7%
P2
39.4%
52.8%
P3
49.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |