Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Poehling wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Crosby 55.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 65.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 95.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 79.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Poehling
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Poehling
Crosby
Last 10: Poehling 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Poehling
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Poehling
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (615)
53.5% (961)
-3.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
64.1% (237)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (202)
64.3% (14)
-26.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Poehling shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Poehling
Crosby
Home
47.2% (388)
56.4% (622)
Away
46.9% (441)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Poehling
Crosby
P1
53.4%
56.0%
P2
39.5%
52.6%
P3
48.9%
58.3%
OT
35.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.5%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
56.0%▲
47.5%
47.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |