Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Poehling wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Crosby 55.5% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 66.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 95.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 82.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Poehling
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Poehling
Crosby
Last 10: Poehling 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Poehling
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Poehling
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (626)
53.7% (984)
-3.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
64.7% (241)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (207)
64.3% (14)
-26.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Poehling shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Poehling
Crosby
Home
47.3% (404)
56.9% (649)
Away
46.9% (441)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Poehling
Crosby
P1
53.5%
55.8%
P2
39.4%
53.2%
P3
49.1%
58.7%
OT
35.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |