Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.1% vs Crosby 53.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 28-13 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 78.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 96.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 86.9%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Poehling
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
28
(41 meetings)
13
28
Poehling
Crosby
Last 10: Poehling 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
23
Poehling
Crosby
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
4
1
Poehling
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
6
4
Poehling
Crosby
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (2,726)
52.8% (17,990)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
57.4% (4,733)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (623)
47.1% (765)
-5.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Poehling shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Poehling
Crosby
Home
49.3% (1,688)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
46.9% (1,754)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Poehling
Crosby
P1
50.9%
53.6%
P2
47.0%
53.9%
P3
46.9%
53.3%
OT
37.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |