Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 50.8% vs Crosby 56.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 69.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 89.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 64.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Poehling
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Poehling
Crosby
Last 6: Poehling 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Poehling
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Poehling
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (622)
56.2% (1,451)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
61.4% (293)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (103)
55.3% (38)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Poehling shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Poehling
Crosby
Home
53.2% (393)
59.1% (939)
Away
48.3% (344)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Poehling
Crosby
P1
50.9%
54.9%
P2
56.2%
60.8%
P3
46.1%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |