Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tkachuk wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 47.1% vs Strome 47.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 72.4%
Defensive zone
Strome 87.1%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 54.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Tkachuk
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tkachuk
Strome
Last 5: Tkachuk 1-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Tkachuk
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (226)
47.8% (813)
-0.9%
Power Play
42.0% (81)
56.4% (133)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
32.7% (98)
+47.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +47.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Tkachuk is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Tkachuk shoots left. Strome is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Strome
Home
47.6% (168)
47.5% (535)
Away
44.4% (144)
47.5% (509)
By Period
Tkachuk
Strome
P1
49.1%
46.4%
P2
42.9%
48.3%
P3
46.5%
47.9%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |