Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.3% vs Strome 44.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 61.5%
Defensive zone
Cozens 63.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 73.0%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Cozens
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cozens
Strome
Last 6: Cozens 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
1
Cozens
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (187)
41.9% (626)
+2.5%
Power Play
85.7% (14)
50.0% (76)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.2% (41)
+48.8%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +48.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Cozens is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Cozens shoots right. Strome is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Cozens
Strome
Home
40.2% (87)
40.8% (363)
Away
53.0% (115)
45.5% (380)
By Period
Cozens
Strome
P1
48.4%
43.0%
P2
46.2%
41.3%
P3
48.3%
45.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |