Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Strome 45.0% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 82.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 88.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Tavares
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Strome
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
44.4% (568)
+8.5%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
52.5% (61)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
31.0% (42)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Tavares is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (602).
Tavares shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Tavares
Strome
Home
55.0% (864)
42.8% (367)
Away
50.8% (862)
46.1% (304)
By Period
Tavares
Strome
P1
51.8%
41.1%
P2
51.4%
44.9%
P3
54.5%
46.6%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |