Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 42.3% vs Monahan 52.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 74.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 78.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 80.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Strome
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Strome
Monahan
Last 10: Strome 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Strome
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Strome
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Strome
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (1,040)
52.4% (853)
-11.2%
Power Play
43.0% (151)
58.6% (174)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
46.5% (144)
+4.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Strome shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Strome
Monahan
Home
40.1% (581)
53.4% (624)
Away
43.1% (645)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Strome
Monahan
P1
41.4%
53.7%
P2
42.9%
52.4%
P3
40.5%
51.6%
OT
45.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
40.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:02 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |