Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings). Strome wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 44.6% vs Monahan 51.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 23-17 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 85.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 76.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 84.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Strome
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
23
(40 meetings)
17
23
Strome
Monahan
Last 10: Strome 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
12
Strome
Monahan
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
8
Strome
Monahan
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
6
3
Strome
Monahan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (6,839)
51.1% (11,356)
-7.0%
Power Play
49.3% (854)
53.7% (2,580)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (410)
46.0% (766)
-4.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Strome shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Strome
Monahan
Home
44.4% (4,046)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
44.7% (4,057)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Strome
Monahan
P1
44.0%
50.9%
P2
45.3%
51.7%
P3
44.3%
51.0%
OT
46.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
44.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:02 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |