Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 68.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 63.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 64.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Strome
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Strome
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Strome
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (267)
53.2% (823)
-9.0%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
55.3% (159)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
48.4% (95)
+1.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Strome shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Strome
Monahan
Home
42.0% (157)
54.6% (529)
Away
45.4% (141)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Strome
Monahan
P1
40.0%
49.0%
P2
46.4%
55.4%
P3
44.0%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
61.9%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |