Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 48.0% vs Monahan 53.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 67.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 63.6%
Neutral zone
Strome 63.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Strome
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Strome
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Strome
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (172)
53.8% (664)
-6.1%
Power Play
38.1% (21)
53.3% (137)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (62)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Strome is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Strome shoots right. Monahan is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Strome
Monahan
Home
43.5% (108)
54.8% (405)
Away
51.2% (86)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Strome
Monahan
P1
45.8%
49.6%
P2
46.2%
53.9%
P3
50.0%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.9%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |