Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 51.1% vs Bennett 46.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 70.3%
Defensive zone
Bennett 70.8%
Neutral zone
Bennett 71.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Frost
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Frost
Bennett
Last 10: Frost 3-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Frost
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
0
Frost
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
6
Frost
Bennett
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (825)
46.5% (909)
+3.8%
Power Play
54.9% (204)
43.1% (51)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
38.5% (13)
+11.5%
On power play, Frost has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Frost shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Frost
Bennett
Home
50.7% (489)
45.4% (449)
Away
51.7% (544)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Frost
Bennett
P1
53.6%
49.6%
P2
47.8%
43.7%
P3
52.0%
45.1%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |