Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bennett wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 45.9% vs Monahan 54.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 70.2%
Defensive zone
Bennett 76.0%
Neutral zone
Bennett 76.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Bennett
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Bennett
Monahan
Last 10: Bennett 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bennett
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Bennett
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
4
Bennett
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (772)
57.1% (871)
-12.4%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
53.1% (262)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
44.6% (139)
-1.7%
On even strength, Monahan has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Bennett shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Bennett
Monahan
Home
48.5% (447)
55.3% (644)
Away
42.1% (411)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Bennett
Monahan
P1
47.1%
53.9%
P2
45.8%
55.3%
P3
42.9%
54.4%
OT
60.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:53 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |