Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bennett wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 46.6% vs Monahan 52.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 69.5%
Defensive zone
Bennett 63.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 64.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Bennett
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bennett
Monahan
Last 7: Bennett 2-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bennett
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Bennett
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (909)
52.4% (853)
-5.9%
Power Play
43.1% (51)
58.6% (174)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
46.5% (144)
-8.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Bennett shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Bennett
Monahan
Home
45.4% (449)
53.4% (624)
Away
46.9% (524)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Bennett
Monahan
P1
49.6%
53.7%
P2
43.7%
52.4%
P3
45.1%
51.6%
OT
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:13 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |