Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Bennett wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.3% vs Monahan 52.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 73.1%
Defensive zone
Bennett 73.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 73.8%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Bennett
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Bennett
Monahan
Last 10: Bennett 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Bennett
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
6
Bennett
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Bennett
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (780)
53.2% (823)
-6.8%
Power Play
57.3% (150)
55.3% (159)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
48.4% (95)
-0.6%
On even strength, Monahan has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Bennett shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Bennett
Monahan
Home
50.3% (519)
54.6% (529)
Away
45.7% (457)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Bennett
Monahan
P1
47.5%
49.0%
P2
46.6%
55.4%
P3
49.8%
53.6%
OT
70.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
44.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 00:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |