Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.8% vs Carrick 53.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 73.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 79.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 66.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Jenner
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Jenner
Carrick
Last 10: Jenner 6-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
0
Jenner
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Jenner
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
4
Jenner
Carrick
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
53.8% (654)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
0.0% (2)
+52.0%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
63.9% (36)
-5.1%
On power play, Jenner has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Jenner is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Jenner shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Jenner
Carrick
Home
45.7% (81)
50.0% (328)
Away
54.8% (124)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Jenner
Carrick
P1
46.6%
56.7%
P2
58.3%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
43.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |