Kevin Stenlund vs Sam Carrick

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 54.5%).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Stenlund 54.3% vs Carrick 53.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Stenlund 52.2%
Defensive zone Stenlund 59.5%
Neutral zone Stenlund 50.2%
Result Kevin Stenlund favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Stenlund Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 4 (5 meetings)
1
4
Stenlund Carrick
Last 5: Stenlund 1-4 Carrick

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Stenlund Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Stenlund Carrick
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Stenlund
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (615)
55.1% (439)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
66.7% (3)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (307)
49.1% (53)
+3.0%
On power play, Carrick has a +13.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Stenlund shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Carrick
Home
57.0% (458)
58.2% (225)
Away
52.6% (511)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Stenlund
Carrick
P1
55.1%
56.7%
P2
53.3%
52.8%
P3
56.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%
59.0%
54.7%
Carrick
56.0%
56.0%
54.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 5, 2026 3 06:53 Neutral Sam Carrick
Jan 5, 2026 2 10:42 Offensive Kevin Stenlund
Jan 5, 2026 1 01:50 Defensive Sam Carrick
Jan 5, 2026 1 01:41 Defensive Sam Carrick
Nov 22, 2025 3 02:11 Neutral Sam Carrick