Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 52.4%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 52.4% vs Carrick 50.9% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 57.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Kadri
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kadri
Carrick
Last 10: Kadri 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Kadri
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Kadri
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (586)
51.9% (54)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
66.7% (6)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
33.3% (3)
+29.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kadri is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Kadri shoots left. Carrick is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (41).
Home / Away
Kadri
Carrick
Home
52.7% (412)
48.7% (39)
Away
52.9% (331)
58.3% (24)
By Period
Kadri
Carrick
P1
52.8%
68.2%
P2
51.3%
52.6%
P3
54.2%
36.4%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
52.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |