Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hischier wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Carrick 49.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 62.6%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 63.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Hischier
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hischier
Carrick
Last 7: Hischier 1-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Hischier
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
4
Hischier
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
49.2% (307)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
66.7% (6)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
48.2% (56)
+8.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Hischier shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Hischier
Carrick
Home
53.4% (844)
50.3% (175)
Away
54.3% (810)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Hischier
Carrick
P1
49.7%
41.0%
P2
54.6%
51.2%
P3
56.1%
55.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |