Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Donato wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Donato 44.6% vs Carrick 48.3% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 75.9%
Defensive zone
Donato 72.3%
Neutral zone
Donato 71.8%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Donato
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Donato
Carrick
Last 6: Donato 1-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Donato
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
3
Donato
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Donato
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (93)
46.7% (60)
-6.9%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
42.9% (7)
-9.6%
On power play, Carrick has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Donato shoots left. Carrick is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Donato
Carrick
Home
39.4% (66)
46.2% (13)
Away
38.9% (36)
45.8% (59)
By Period
Donato
Carrick
P1
40.5%
52.6%
P2
36.7%
45.8%
P3
40.0%
41.4%
Final 5 min
29.4%
12.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
39.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |