Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 52.1% vs Steel 50.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 83.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 64.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Carrick
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Carrick
Steel
Last 7: Carrick 2-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Carrick
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carrick
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Carrick
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (2,513)
50.6% (2,876)
+1.5%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
62.6% (179)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (430)
37.4% (254)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Carrick shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Carrick
Steel
Home
51.2% (1,441)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
53.0% (1,577)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Carrick
Steel
P1
51.8%
51.9%
P2
52.2%
49.5%
P3
52.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Sam Steel |