Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 53.5%). Carrick wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.7% vs Steel 52.8% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Steel 68.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 54.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Carrick
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (654)
56.9% (320)
-3.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
71.4% (7)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
63.9% (36)
37.0% (73)
+26.9%
On power play, Steel has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Carrick shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Carrick
Steel
Home
50.0% (328)
55.9% (202)
Away
58.0% (364)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Carrick
Steel
P1
56.7%
55.5%
P2
51.1%
55.1%
P3
54.8%
50.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%