Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.8% vs Steel 50.6% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Steel 67.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.1%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Carrick
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (439)
52.5% (200)
+2.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
71.4% (7)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (53)
40.0% (45)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Carrick shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Carrick
Steel
Home
58.2% (225)
49.5% (109)
Away
51.5% (270)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Carrick
Steel
P1
56.7%
49.5%
P2
52.8%
47.5%
P3
54.4%
56.6%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%