Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.0% vs Steel 46.6% (+8.4%)
Offensive zone
Steel 63.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Carrick
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (521)
44.6% (177)
+9.3%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
66.7% (3)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (229)
44.8% (29)
+6.7%
On power play, Steel has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Carrick shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Carrick
Steel
Home
52.7% (408)
46.7% (90)
Away
54.1% (377)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Carrick
Steel
P1
51.4%
47.8%
P2
56.6%
47.0%
P3
52.1%
41.3%
Final 5 min
57.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%