Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 49.5% vs Novak 46.5% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 70.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 72.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Carrick
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (352)
43.2% (118)
+5.7%
Power Play
81.3% (16)
47.8% (23)
+33.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Carrick shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Carrick
Novak
Home
46.9% (192)
50.7% (71)
Away
51.6% (221)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Carrick
Novak
P1
48.1%
44.7%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
49.5%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%