Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 49.5% vs Novak 45.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 68.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.7%
Neutral zone
Carrick 61.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Carrick
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carrick
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (307)
43.8% (384)
+5.4%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
58.8% (17)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (56)
100.0% (1)
-51.8%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Carrick shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Carrick
Novak
Home
50.3% (175)
46.5% (202)
Away
48.5% (194)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Carrick
Novak
P1
41.0%
49.2%
P2
51.2%
44.2%
P3
55.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |