Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.7% vs Novak 45.0% (+11.5%)
Offensive zone
Novak 77.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 52.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Carrick
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (654)
42.9% (198)
+10.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
40.9% (22)
-40.9%
On power play, Novak has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Carrick shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Carrick
Novak
Home
50.0% (328)
40.9% (110)
Away
58.0% (364)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Carrick
Novak
P1
56.7%
39.1%
P2
51.1%
43.9%
P3
54.8%
44.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%