Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.8%). Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Gagner 47.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 59.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 70.8%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 51.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Last 5: Jarnkrok 0-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Jarnkrok
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Jarnkrok
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Jarnkrok
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
45.6% (651)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
53.8% (119)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
0.0% (1)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Jarnkrok is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Gagner is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Gagner
Home
44.5% (362)
47.1% (367)
Away
48.4% (279)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Gagner
P1
48.5%
49.6%
P2
45.9%
47.9%
P3
44.7%
43.4%
OT
16.7%
43.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 21, 2014 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |