Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Gagner 48.1% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 81.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 83.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 88.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Ryan
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ryan
Gagner
Last 5: Ryan 4-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Ryan
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
47.3% (395)
+9.2%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
50.0% (62)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
50.0% (4)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Ryan is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Ryan shoots right. Gagner is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gagner
Home
56.7% (466)
49.4% (267)
Away
56.3% (474)
45.4% (194)
By Period
Ryan
Gagner
P1
55.4%
47.5%
P2
58.1%
48.5%
P3
55.8%
48.1%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |