Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +24.4% FO% edge overall. Gagner wins 27.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 43.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-24.4%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 63.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 58.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Gagner
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (29)
54.1% (1,117)
-23.1%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
59.8% (296)
-30.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Gagner shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Gagner
Hertl
Home
36.8% (19)
54.3% (709)
Away
25.9% (27)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Gagner
Hertl
P1
27.8%
51.6%
P2
15.4%
53.6%
P3
46.7%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%